Hospitable-Prefix
0xe50b455f46b22cf3040cbf5b72b50e61129a32a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$-46.91
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?
4475 shares @ 71.9¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$2.9K
$-310.50
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
2697 shares @ 87.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.6K
$289.08
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
412 shares @ 65.1¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$266.86
$-1.70
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
284 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$261.36
$11.36
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
280 shares @ 71.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$205.45
$5.45
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
236 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$178.39
$-3.54
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
398 shares @ 25.1¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$97.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$59.00
$4.00
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
76 shares @ 67.2¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.58
$2.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next James Bond?$184.02May 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$184.30May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next James Bond?$3.97May 16, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$2.86May 16, 02:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$43.26May 15, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00May 15, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$43.38May 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$335.25May 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$335.25May 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$29.96May 15, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$26.03May 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$3.93May 15, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$2.4KMay 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$30.34May 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$0.77May 15, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $177.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".