Hard-Public
0xe562cfbf7b3292e0deb29a5b8fd3c38af4794fa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$71.57
Realised
$18.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
1747 shares @ 67.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.7K
$570.81
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
1152 shares @ 58.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.1K
$467.88
- NO
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
450 shares @ 47.1¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.18
$-38.74
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
182 shares @ 71.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$134.48
$5.45
- YES
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?
151 shares @ 35.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$86.82
$33.46
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 24.6¢·now 31.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$78.13
$16.75
- YES
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
154 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$57.82
$3.82
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
804 shares @ 17.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.24
$-94.66
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
596 shares @ 21.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.73
$-83.50
- YES
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
400 shares @ 37.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$42.00
$-108.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$249.77May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$0.00May 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?$9.26May 18, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?$20.72May 18, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$160.77May 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$20.02May 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$1.68May 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?$37.52May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?$17.56May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?$25.74May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$2.01May 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?$6.77May 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.27May 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$5.13May 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$15.38May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$25.53May 17, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$25.50May 17, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $37.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".