Purple-Erosion
0xe5bd6db81668c0e5f0209b371b7a2b5459a6f03e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$165.31
Total PnL
$-330.38
Realised
$17.34
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
102 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.63
$1.53
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$33.60
$-3.00
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.34
$5.54
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.85
$10.35
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.40
$1.80
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.85
$-3.75
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$7.25
$3.25
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
800 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.40
$-247.60
- NO
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
700 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.50
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
328 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.82
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15May 22, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?$2.38May 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?$1.10May 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?$1.00May 21, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?$3.00May 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?$0.93May 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?$2.00May 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$112.68May 21, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$13.84May 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$60.90May 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$60.90May 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$4.36May 21, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$12.01May 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$31.32May 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$1.33May 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$3.20May 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$0.67May 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$3.47May 21, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?$54.00May 21, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $43.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".