Steep-Treat

• NO

  Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  162 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $121.24

  $40.03

• YES

  Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  162 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $41.17

  $-40.03

• NO

  Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

  44 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $40.85

  $1.64

• NO

  Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

  27 shares @ 90.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026

  $26.59

  $2.12

• YES

  Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

  23 shares @ 93.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026

  $22.63

  $1.00

• YES

  Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

  17 shares @ 77.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $14.97

  $1.65

• NO

  Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

  14 shares @ 89.2¢·now 91.6¢·exp Oct 27, 2026

  $13.09

  $0.35

• YES

  Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

  27 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $11.16

  $0.52

• NO

  Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

  12 shares @ 57.7¢·now 84.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $10.14

  $3.24

• NO

  Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

  5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $5.13

  $0.04

• TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.05May 18, 09:09 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.22May 18, 07:45 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.03May 18, 05:30 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.08May 18, 01:19 UTC
• YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.07May 17, 22:48 UTC
• REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
• REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
• REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$20.00May 17, 16:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.60May 17, 14:03 UTC
• TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.95May 17, 13:53 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.04May 17, 11:44 UTC
• TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.20May 17, 11:40 UTC
• TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$2.28May 17, 11:39 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.56May 17, 11:22 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.54May 17, 11:15 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.02May 17, 11:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.04May 17, 11:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 17, 11:06 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.04May 17, 11:02 UTC

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