Lawful-Arithmetic
0xe699b501419b39d01bd975c3c5ab68241cdf8790
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$337.10
Total PnL
$-191.08
Realised
$-113.48
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
211 shares @ 69.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$154.81
$9.48
- NO
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
197 shares @ 56.3¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$121.27
$10.22
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
210 shares @ 16.4¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.90
$5.36
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
192 shares @ 40.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.21
$-58.87
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.92
$-0.48
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
190 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.57
$0.00
- YES
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?
210 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.42
$-0.21
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
311 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.30
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
200 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
180 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by May 31?$28.50May 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?$0.63May 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$0.40May 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$0.17May 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$7.85May 11, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$21.88May 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$9.12May 11, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$35.70May 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$147.13May 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$36.00May 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.14May 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$9.56May 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$27.50May 10, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$36.00May 10, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$17.00May 10, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$3.60May 10, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.92May 10, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.59May 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$37.82May 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by May 31?$5.53May 9, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".