Dazzling-Likeness
0xe7489125473c49a187c41c01d6ec96801d8a2b23
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$21.20
Total PnL
$-99.64
Realised
$-8.98
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.01
$1.01
- YES
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 12.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $680M?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
7 shares @ 13.9¢·now 16.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in May?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in May?$1.04May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.00May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$0.84May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$0.97May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$1.01May 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.01May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in May?$0.01May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 200 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?$1.02May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in May?$1.01May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$1.01May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 18?$1.07May 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?$1.07May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$0.48May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.14May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 19?$1.04May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.96May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$2.13May 17, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?$1.04May 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$1.03May 17, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".