Ragged-Dose
0xe85607bf3eddcc3f7cff16671695f5e96bba3789
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$939.30
Total PnL
$17.49
Realised
$-0.42
Win rate
58%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
164 shares @ 86.8¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.68
$12.89
- NO
Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?
85 shares @ 83.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.67
$10.67
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
47 shares @ 71.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.35
$9.35
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
40 shares @ 78.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.63
$5.32
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
187 shares @ 29.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.02
$-26.98
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 73.6¢·now 85.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.92
$3.92
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 72.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$26.18
$3.18
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
27 shares @ 78.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.65
$4.65
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
34 shares @ 70.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.49
$1.33
- NO
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
34 shares @ 71.9¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.37
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.34May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$4.00May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$5.07May 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$5.07May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.02May 18, 08:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.11May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.12May 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$1.03May 17, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.35May 17, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$5.17May 17, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.03May 17, 04:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$28.79May 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$9.74May 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$1.05May 16, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$14.10May 16, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4.55May 16, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.56May 16, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$16.29May 16, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".