Alarmed-Laugh
0xe99ff60bf27a6f8c6441374446032d58f97a7ce9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$477.56
Total PnL
$-146.50
Realised
$39.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Japan recession in 2026?
153 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$115.08
$16.88
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$105.06
$5.06
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$96.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1508 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$73.16
$21.16
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5024 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$37.68
$-42.32
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
168 shares @ 59.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$31.10
$-68.90
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1711 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.82
$-81.18
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
488 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-33.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.49May 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$142.88May 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.57May 5, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$100.55May 5, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.99May 4, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$10.46May 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada recession before 2027?$92.75May 2, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$42.50May 2, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$10.48May 1, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$7.94Apr 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$411.66Apr 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$10.47Apr 30, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$20.92Apr 30, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$181.51Apr 30, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.98Apr 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada recession before 2027?$70.00Apr 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan recession in 2026?$100.00Apr 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$100.00Apr 28, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$0.00Apr 28, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$30.00Apr 22, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $88.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".