Silly-Discourse
0xe9ca72f48e690cc05430379598158cfbc24b1763
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-134.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
625 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$546.88
$46.88
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
360 shares @ 83.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$325.37
$25.37
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
330 shares @ 91.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$285.16
$-14.83
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 73.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$144.71
$44.71
- YES
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
77 shares @ 64.2¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.59
$21.31
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
166 shares @ 60.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.74
$-50.26
- NO
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
33 shares @ 60.1¢·now 35.4¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$11.73
$-8.15
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
156 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$126.58May 9, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$129.87May 9, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$157.81May 9, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$465.60May 9, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$423.70Apr 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$100.00Apr 23, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 26?$100.00Apr 23, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$100.00Apr 23, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$500.00Apr 23, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?$4.20Apr 23, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?$15.68Apr 23, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$100.00Apr 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$100.00Apr 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$300.00Apr 23, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$50.00Apr 23, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$0.00Apr 23, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$0.00Apr 23, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.00Apr 23, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $174.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".