Necessary-Simplicity
0xe9ce4800673966e556a74099d21cc9494e794009
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-13.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
700 shares @ 91.3¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$635.60
$-3.40
- NO
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
567 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$517.22
$-2.13
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
300 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$271.50
$-7.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$148.41May 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$270.00May 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$180.00May 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$202.94May 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$278.22May 16, 14:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$264.00May 10, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$278.53May 10, 09:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$196.02May 6, 14:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $75.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".