Creepy-Apology
0xea907f17617b80ce0cc8b909e4713dc1af2052c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$39.85
Total PnL
$-33.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 36.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.27
$2.77
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
19 shares @ 51.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$6.49
$-3.51
- YES
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
44 shares @ 22.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.63
$-5.37
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.28
$-0.72
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-1.09
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 17, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.23May 16, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.89May 16, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?$1.04May 12, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$8.33May 9, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$7.94May 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$3.55May 5, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.00May 4, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$1.04May 4, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by April 30?$1.04May 3, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$1.04May 2, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$1.04May 1, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$2.56May 1, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$5.79Apr 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 30, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump dance today?$0.00Apr 29, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance today?$1.04Apr 28, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.00Apr 28, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 28, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".