Formal-Painting
0xeae707a267b3d6a112167b5c93c3fa74e38c2800
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$30.6K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
16451 shares @ 80.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
15105 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$14.1K
$530.24
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
9373 shares @ 89.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.5K
$-7.0K
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5000 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$357.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
2143 shares @ 1.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$114.65
$87.25
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?
15 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.11
$0.45
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
1765 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?$13.66May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$465.27May 9, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$19.3KMay 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.87May 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$307.47May 3, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$0.00May 1, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$4.9KMay 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$305.19Apr 29, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$204.96Apr 29, 13:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.37Apr 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$0.10Apr 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$23.27Apr 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$7.1KApr 28, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$769.10Apr 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$300.00Apr 28, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$200.00Apr 28, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$127.46Apr 28, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$6.09Apr 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$1.00Apr 28, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".