0xeaf3e1de19bdfdd42ed3724db3d45b7648c181a5
0xeaf3e1de19bdfdd42ed3724db3d45b7648c181a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$44.35
Total PnL
$-106.55
Realised
$-22.71
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in May?
29 shares @ 1.2¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.35
$7.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 20?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.89
$0.05
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.89
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?
24 shares @ 8.6¢·now 20.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.77
$2.73
- NO
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?
10 shares @ 28.6¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$2.81
$-0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.51
$0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.46
$0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?
31 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.20
$-0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 20?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.37
$-0.27
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?$0.16May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?$0.20May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?$0.60May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 21?$0.34May 20, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 21?$0.34May 20, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 20?$0.49May 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 20?$0.38May 20, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 20?$4.95May 20, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 20?$1.21May 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 20?$0.57May 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 20?$0.44May 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 20?$1.40May 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 20?$0.93May 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?$0.76May 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 20?$0.56May 20, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 20?$0.43May 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 20?$0.66May 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-8.5)$4.99May 20, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 20?$1.87May 20, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".