Bold-Hardship
0xeb49f0a29dc20f6680d8ed946a3fd941073f17e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$37.72
Total PnL
$-5.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.96
$-0.04
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$4.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
3 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 7?
3 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 7?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$3.00May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.05May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$3.99May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$5.01May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.91May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$7.97May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?$9.35May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$9.93May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (Low) $4.00 by May 31?$14.26May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$11.13May 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.81May 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$12.86May 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?$9.62May 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?$15.52May 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$14.82May 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$8.13May 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$19.89May 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$21.89May 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$14.94May 14, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $441.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".