Classic-Confusion
0xeb6a157f348b1b5394e12526b490c4d52e28f15b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$684.96
Total PnL
$1.63
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
200 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$190.90
$-0.50
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$99.85
$0.55
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
100 shares @ 90.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.45
$0.85
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
80 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.92
$1.24
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.93
$1.59
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
58 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.98
$0.20
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
50 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.13
$0.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
30 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.63
$0.07
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
15 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.00
$0.55
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?$20.08May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?$1.07May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?$13.38May 14, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$77.68May 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?$34.98May 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$29.55May 13, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$200.00May 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$14.46May 13, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.33May 9, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.40May 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.35May 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.02May 9, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.80May 9, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.10May 9, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.34May 9, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$33.78May 9, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.17May 9, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$191.40May 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$190.00May 9, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $37.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".