Favorite-Selfconfidence
0xeb86980e553ec8aad01b98f0d0d68028608cfb51
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.73
Total PnL
$-201.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.99
$10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?
16 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.96
$1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 20?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.34
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or higher on May 20?
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.04
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?
142 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.07
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 20?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 20?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 20?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 20?
28 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.01
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 20?$0.39May 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 20?$0.06May 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 20?$0.51May 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 20?$0.00May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$0.64May 20, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$0.24May 20, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$0.10May 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$0.98May 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or higher on May 20?$0.96May 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?$0.96May 20, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 20?$0.96May 20, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?$0.96May 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 20?$0.99May 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 20?$0.99May 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?$0.30May 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?$0.30May 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?$0.02May 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?$0.38May 20, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".