Outrageous-Mecca
0xeb897d79dcc91f921bd1a9aa7d5e45a2481f9469
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$8.49
Realised
$1.21
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
1137 shares @ 64.2¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$989.61
$259.58
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$192.70
$24.70
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.99
$25.00
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
187 shares @ 67.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$167.19
$41.06
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
133 shares @ 70.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.66
$28.74
- NO
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
190 shares @ 41.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$91.20
$13.30
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 57.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.29
$-0.11
- YES
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$3.75
$0.65
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026?
5147 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-191.13
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$37.27May 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$32.67May 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.26May 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$128.00May 7, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$130.00May 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?$77.42May 7, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$6.70May 6, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$3.10May 6, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$49.33May 4, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$39.13May 2, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.62May 2, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$0.09Apr 30, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$81.51Apr 30, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$22.24Apr 29, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$24.60Apr 29, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.50Apr 29, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.54Apr 27, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.43Apr 27, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09Apr 27, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09Apr 27, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $54.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".