Reasonable-Sonata
0xeba1ea4e43f5a9665d67d7e993587d5d25d044df
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
102
Open notional
$89.20
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?
235 shares @ 45.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$89.20
$-16.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 14?
1594 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-494.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?
1197 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-93.28
- HOUSTON COUGARS
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats
704 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-324.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
681 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- VILLANOVA WILDCATS
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats
642 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-288.74
- HARVARD CRIMSON
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimson
635 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-298.69
- OVER
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5
577 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
570 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-295.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 9?
509 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-110.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?$0.33May 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?$55.80May 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?$51.41May 25, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.48May 19, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$4.99May 18, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 18?$14.37May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 18?$8.13May 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$4.80May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 18?$60.25May 18, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers$30.13May 16, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers$26.53May 16, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers$20.27May 16, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers$5.27May 16, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$108.13May 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$79.51May 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$91.32May 15, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?$61.90May 11, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$110.58May 11, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$58.39May 10, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$23.89May 10, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $48.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".