Illustrious-Yard
0xebb1573b8bec894b06e0db3e5586563d908de7af
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$67.84
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-110.89
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 20?
40 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$39.99
$5.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 20?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$17.61
$-2.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 20?
71 shares @ 29.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.24
$-10.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or higher on March 27?
3305 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-37.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on March 21?
1159 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-22.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 8?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on April 10?
475 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 10?
475 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on March 27?
473 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on March 27?
373 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$1.55May 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$7.89May 20, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 20?$20.47May 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$10.82May 20, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$22.03May 20, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$28.31May 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 20?$7.27May 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$4.68May 20, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 20?$35.14May 20, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$18.86May 20, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$30.60May 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$24.48May 20, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$36.05May 20, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$6.29May 20, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 20?$14.11May 20, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$5.93May 20, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?$12.86May 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?$11.36May 19, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-6.5)$100.00May 19, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 17?$43.40May 19, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".