Impassioned-Reception
0xebcd4506042f2acc7560e14f98643a5c8de77782
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$73.08
Total PnL
$-4.47
Realised
$10.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
169 shares @ 14.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
62 shares @ 32.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.52
$-3.48
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
10 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.31
$0.15
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.44
$0.44
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
69 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.54
$-0.21
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$-6.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.42
$-3.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.77May 14, 09:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.30May 13, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.95May 13, 22:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$9.20May 9, 11:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.00Apr 21, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".