Emotional-Chaos
0xebed790d92b1f58f0529143fff5a5146ee5d8af0
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$668.75
Total PnL
$-102.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
135 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.39
$5.39
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
279 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$118.60
$-1.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.02
$8.02
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.36
$-13.64
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
226 shares @ 53.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.51
$-55.49
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$48.11
$-1.89
- YES
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?
47 shares @ 63.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$40.14
$10.14
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
222 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.33
$-16.67
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
125 shares @ 32.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.63
$-19.38
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
57 shares @ 38.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.63
$-3.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$30.43May 17, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$120.00May 17, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$10.27May 17, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$130.54May 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$74.06May 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$60.72May 8, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.68May 4, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$28.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$62.79Apr 29, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$120.00Apr 29, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$443.73Apr 29, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$100.00Apr 26, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$74.84Apr 26, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$421.00Apr 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$18.16Apr 16, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$281.69Apr 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.00Apr 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$12.00Apr 5, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$200.00Apr 1, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 1, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $92.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".