Fumbling-Affect
0xec25c44518e113a23b708070ed960d54ad83dec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$625.25
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 72.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$247.50
$-112.50
- NO
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-05-23?
62 shares @ 76.9¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$38.44
$-9.22
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
33 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.97
$0.36
- NO
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
29 shares @ 94.3¢·now 91.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$26.11
$-0.89
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?
23 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.80
$0.08
- NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in May?
23 shares @ 97.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.93
$-1.56
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
21 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$20.85
$0.02
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
28 shares @ 81.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$17.77
$-4.90
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.33
$0.33
- NO
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 8 launches in May?
23 shares @ 97.0¢·now 74.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.15
$-5.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMPumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 5.5$58.00May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Samoa$15.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-5.5)$37.00May 18, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$37.00May 18, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Guabirá win on 2026-05-17?$40.12May 18, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks$37.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Samoa$4.99May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Samoa$4.99May 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Samoa$4.97May 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-5.5)$35.20May 18, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Guabirá win on 2026-05-17?$9.90May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Guabirá win on 2026-05-17?$29.44May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$35.74May 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 19?$19.79May 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 19?$19.85May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks$33.78May 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 17?$67.16May 18, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?$64.00May 17, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$31.00May 17, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $36.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".