Verifiable-Capital
0xec4d43d71e4a356f611606b320536dac33b03b11
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$583.74
Total PnL
$-394.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
319 shares @ 25.1¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$79.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
179 shares @ 50.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$79.58
$-10.42
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.42
$5.42
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 36.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.95
$-15.05
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
183 shares @ 10.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.30
$13.30
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
136 shares @ 29.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$31.95
$-8.05
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
160 shares @ 21.8¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.89
$-5.11
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
68 shares @ 45.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$28.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
129 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.41
$1.42
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
52 shares @ 38.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.13
$1.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.18May 19, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?$10.28May 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.11May 19, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sovereign" or "Sovereignty" during Chinese State Banquet?$15.22May 13, 03:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.61May 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.31May 12, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 12, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$46.51May 12, 03:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.20May 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$10.00May 10, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$31.25May 10, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".