Weird-Freedom
0xeca0c0888e34df59589c67fbe53dc7f298b5e8f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$49.6K
Total PnL
$8.2K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
66%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3000 shares @ 71.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$320.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$255.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3000 shares @ 57.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$324.93
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3000 shares @ 65.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$22.20
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
3001 shares @ 71.3¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-670.61
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 71.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$30.91
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$-70.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
1000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$971.50
$21.50
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2000 shares @ 52.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$930.04
$-128.10
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
1000 shares @ 60.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$920.31
$316.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$366.09May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$40.58May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.78May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$482.42May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$104.36May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$43.97May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$180.57May 18, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5$150.00May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$199.16May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$590.00May 18, 04:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.87May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.55May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$12.50May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$35.00May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$23.36May 18, 00:04 UTC
- REWARD$20.16May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?$8.79May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$6.63May 17, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 17, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $207.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".