Thrifty-Motion
0xece740d3b31bd6bcae4e4236fac92ebe1dbb3673
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$691.36
Win rate
69%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
750 shares @ 72.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$513.76
$-30.55
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
564 shares @ 83.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$482.01
$12.56
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
400 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$378.00
$13.93
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
422 shares @ 56.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$345.88
$109.85
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 67.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$297.50
$-41.08
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
300 shares @ 93.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$294.45
$14.45
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
310 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$294.03
$0.93
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
296 shares @ 67.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$293.02
$94.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
300 shares @ 73.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$286.97
$66.79
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
300 shares @ 90.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$278.55
$6.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$7.00May 18, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$48.00May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$102.00May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$93.00May 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$11.25May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$2.38May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$81.00May 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.31May 17, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$1.12May 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$41.87May 17, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$82.00May 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$20.00May 17, 07:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$77.00May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$98.78May 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?$28.28May 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$8.25May 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.09May 16, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $57.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".