Basic-Disparity
0xedc0f2cd1743914c4533368e15489c1a7a3d99f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$423.13
Total PnL
$-33.5K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
47%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
2000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$360.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
536 shares @ 12.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.16
$-26.84
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
268 shares @ 48.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.39
$-121.61
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
291 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.85
$-13.15
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
91 shares @ 9.9¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.73
$-2.27
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
112300 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?
46367 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-183.43
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
32241 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Trump attend UFC 319?
18995 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?
15987 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-68.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$135.91Mar 16, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.03Mar 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$41.00Mar 16, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$100.00Mar 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?$8.70Mar 7, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$248.79Mar 5, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 5, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$135.00Mar 4, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$116.95Mar 4, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$2.55Mar 4, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$15.05Mar 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$6.88Mar 4, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$1.37Mar 4, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$82.57Mar 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$25.56Mar 3, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$21.88Mar 3, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$28.86Mar 3, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$13.80Mar 3, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$16.10Mar 3, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$13.80Mar 3, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $57.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".