Rigid-Allocation
0xedcd0a46c993217bee212b32ad37205c22062507
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$11.7K
Total PnL
$-772.19
Realised
$5.56
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6510 shares @ 93.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.9K
$-190.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
4224 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.2K
$0.54
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5521 shares @ 18.1¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$7.80
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5837 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$487.35
$-13.22
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
350 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.64
$0.87
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
652 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.67
$-0.33
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.27
$4.27
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.50
$-2.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.16
$2.16
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.03
$2.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLValorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$176.88May 18, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$101.23May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$335.76May 17, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$784.56May 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.97May 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.90May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.77May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.87May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.85May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$133.69May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$5.08May 17, 19:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.57May 17, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.02May 17, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$86.82May 16, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$5.09May 16, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$5.07May 15, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $185.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".