Frayed-Nougat
0xede3eb7a4f05b8d8ad1dbb4d2dd6a2a3f30ae3f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$940.95
Total PnL
$-139.14
Realised
$24.21
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$473.75
$223.75
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 76.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$67.71
$-6.94
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by June 30?
56 shares @ 90.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.17
$5.19
- NO
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$49.77
$-0.17
- NO
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.05
$3.05
- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
100 shares @ 41.5¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.99
$-3.50
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by June 30?
36 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.70
$12.01
- NO
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$29.94
$-0.03
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.25
$-223.75
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
25 shares @ 74.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$22.50
$3.83
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.44May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.76May 17, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.18May 17, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$6.04May 17, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$2.57May 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.63May 17, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1.17May 17, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$10.89May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.58May 17, 04:50 UTC
- SPLITWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$500.00May 17, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$2.60May 17, 04:09 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.88May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$2.83May 16, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$0.75May 16, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.42May 16, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$21.35May 16, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$41.00May 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $200M committed to the Printr public sale?$99.60May 16, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".