Unrealistic-Dugout
0xee4fa6f3516ff02a9bc44d8c86a767283197b168
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$673.02
Total PnL
$-146.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.24
$10.24
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
123 shares @ 67.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$90.34
$7.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
354 shares @ 28.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.21
$-39.79
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
116 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.54
$11.02
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
58 shares @ 52.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$33.75
$3.75
- YES
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
23 shares @ 87.1¢·now 89.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$20.46
$0.46
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.98
$-10.02
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.55
$9.55
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 27.4¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.12
$-1.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.23May 14, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$11.11May 14, 03:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$10.48May 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$5.05May 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$5.02May 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$10.00May 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.32May 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.10May 13, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMJiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao$40.76May 13, 16:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao$10.23May 8, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $11.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".