Favorable-Density
0xee67664b7364ad83e8be00942440f7980f3e88df
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$39.8K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-125.21
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11397 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.6K
$32.75
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
10737 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.8K
$161.55
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16210 shares @ 15.4¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.0K
$467.41
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16210 shares @ 15.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.7K
$174.90
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
2293 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$11.46
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16209 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$-8.09
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16209 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$72.96
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16207 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$-121.47
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16209 shares @ 6.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$218.84
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
1096 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.1K
$11.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.68May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$2.1KMay 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$934.13May 17, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 17, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.23May 17, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 17, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.0KMay 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.02May 17, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.03May 17, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$1.66May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 16, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.04May 16, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.02May 16, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 16, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $277.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".