Cautious-Marionberry
0xeed1db196590719d2cc732ad1aafbca7f1ce501f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$20.17
Total PnL
$-416.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.00
$1.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.00
$0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 26?
40 shares @ 5.1¢·now 9.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.82
$1.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 25?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.70
$-0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26?
140 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.40
$0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 25?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.00
$-0.60
- YES
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.91
$-3.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 26?
72 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.86
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 25?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.47
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 25?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.01
$-2.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$3.70May 25, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$4.01May 25, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$4.20May 25, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.76May 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.24May 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$3.70May 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$3.70May 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$3.70May 25, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$3.95May 25, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.00May 25, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".