Quarterly-Med
0xef02ae62bf79392eaaa2c7a4a07daa872d444f7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$17.37
Total PnL
$-9.12
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11225 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.61
$-5.61
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6785 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.39
$-3.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.18
$-0.01
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.58
- NO
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.41
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$0.42
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.95
$-0.14
- YES
Will Martín Rodríguez win Big Brother Argentina 2026?
1 shares @ 1.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$0.57
- YES
Will Trump post "Harvard" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.52
$-0.09
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.33May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.44May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$557.67May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.01May 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$558.39May 18, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$3.31May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.06May 18, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$557.69May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 18?$0.97May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$558.37May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the NYT front page headlines say "Oil" this week?$1.33May 18, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?$0.00May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$554.76May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$555.70May 18, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.15May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$549.23May 18, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?$1.39May 18, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.45May 18, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?$3.37May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.01May 18, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $200.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".