Sinful-Cupcake
0xef24dbead89a87de80f7f330914feb6c651da44d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$3.33
Total PnL
$-717.99
Realised
$-36.05
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET
67 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.33
$-9.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1009 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-88.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?
620 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-32.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4AM ET
380 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-03?
356 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?
348 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
333 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
300 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$19.85May 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$12.23May 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$16.07May 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.66May 23, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.33May 23, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$17.13May 23, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.28May 23, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET$5.30May 23, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET$5.30May 23, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$15.22May 23, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$10.24May 23, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.66May 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$19.43May 23, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$10.22May 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$5.14May 23, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.33May 23, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$21.62May 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET$18.95May 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET$5.16May 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET$5.20May 23, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".