Shoddy-Cyst
0xef5406737e5bdc47067258b8a057022c48f9c997
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-274.26
Realised
$5.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
2031 shares @ 90.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-320.71
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1030 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$818.85
$-15.25
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
400 shares @ 70.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$306.00
$25.00
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
301 shares @ 80.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$297.37
$54.67
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
330 shares @ 63.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$282.15
$74.25
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
350 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$259.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
365 shares @ 28.3¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.25
$152.00
- NO
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?
288 shares @ 70.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$225.86
$22.70
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
340 shares @ 47.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$198.90
$37.50
- OVER
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5
120 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$120.00
$66.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$53.75May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$66.89May 16, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever$70.48May 16, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5$28.05May 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-6.5)$63.30May 15, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$71.67May 15, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5$54.89May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)$69.28May 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?$38.49May 14, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-15.5)$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-3.5)$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMLas Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $59.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".