Quizzical-Bolt
0xef6290ac2c47d07c7f61b5045261e4166858bcc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$380.25
Total PnL
$-174.04
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
190 shares @ 62.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$111.15
$-7.85
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
144 shares @ 62.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$110.54
$20.85
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
70 shares @ 36.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.19
$19.14
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.27
$7.27
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.85
$3.45
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.75
$-2.75
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
200 shares @ 4.9¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.80
$11.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 68.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.70
$-3.96
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.10
$-2.90
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
60 shares @ 21.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.89
$-10.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.91May 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.88May 17, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.03May 17, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$70.48May 16, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$110.00May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$70.36May 15, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$40.88May 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.13May 3, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$23.10May 3, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$13.06May 3, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$21.19May 3, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.63May 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$32.77May 2, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$28.65May 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?$25.00May 2, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$5.00May 2, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$54.40May 2, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$30.00May 1, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$50.00Apr 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$77.04Apr 30, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $24.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".