Afraid-Ale
0xef7da38c3a175c67df852cd5dc2e21879a5c2ed8
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$353.90
Total PnL
$-47.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.85
$3.25
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
100 shares @ 77.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.00
$10.08
- YES
Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?
40 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$36.80
$0.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
110 shares @ 86.8¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.50
$-63.03
- NO
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in less than 2 days?
30 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$29.94
$0.18
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
40 shares @ 64.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.40
$3.80
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
27 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.37
$-0.27
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
27 shares @ 40.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.49
$1.51
- YES
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
100 shares @ 12.5¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.00
$-0.47
- YES
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
17 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.11
$-1.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?$18.46May 23, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$15.95May 23, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$25.97May 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?$18.46May 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ant Middleton summit Everest in less than 2 days?$19.85May 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ant Middleton summit Everest in less than 2 days?$9.92May 22, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon acquire TikTok?$34.10May 22, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$7.65May 15, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$2.44May 9, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$3.08May 9, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$91.98May 9, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 29, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?$25.44Apr 29, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$0.00Apr 28, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$4.10Apr 28, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$12.54Apr 20, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$5.00Apr 19, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$10.78Apr 19, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.00Apr 19, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by April 17?$20.00Apr 19, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $13.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".