Sugary-Gloom-Derivation
0xef8a93ea2cf3a2937d551dc32271b8060fcefd72
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$493.23
Total PnL
$-354.09
Realised
$-194.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
498 shares @ 51.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$319.03
$64.80
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
5775 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$161.70
$61.71
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-6.50
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
500 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
200 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-129.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$100.00May 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$182.78May 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$100.00May 11, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$0.98May 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$57.07May 7, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$6.45May 7, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$27.95May 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$19.50May 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$17.55May 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$65.50May 7, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$65.40May 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$6.62May 7, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$53.74May 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$80.00May 7, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$6.25May 7, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$12.00May 7, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$30.80May 1, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$9.27May 1, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$21.83Apr 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$15.24Apr 30, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $78.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".