Fond-Warmth
0xef98c81d560325c8a57b9f63adc8ba5cda78b586
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.34
Total PnL
$-374.27
Realised
$34.68
Win rate
70%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 21?
140 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.66
$-3.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 21?
102 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.28
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 20?
111 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.21
$0.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 20?
120 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.50
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on May 21?
107 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.33
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on May 20?
126 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.13
$-0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?
146 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.95
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 20?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.92
$-1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 20?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.84
$-0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 21?
140 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.77
$-14.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?$0.24May 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?$6.73May 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 21?$0.03May 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 20?$7.52May 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 21?$0.05May 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 21?$1.60May 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 20?$5.36May 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 20?$4.32May 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 20?$2.88May 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 20?$1.45May 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 21?$0.28May 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on May 20?$1.91May 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?$14.01May 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on May 21?$0.21May 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 21?$2.21May 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 21?$6.58May 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 21?$0.34May 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 21?$0.06May 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 21?$0.02May 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 21?$0.10May 20, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".