Square-Trust
0xefddc1d3285d0fe1b9f2aa06e04901f527a08370
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$535.16
Realised
$193.09
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
3752 shares @ 28.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$10.48
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
835 shares @ 31.9¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$626.28
$359.53
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
689 shares @ 70.1¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$461.71
$-21.41
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
438 shares @ 61.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$372.36
$103.05
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
891 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$320.92
$-17.64
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
1040 shares @ 18.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$249.55
$53.96
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
689 shares @ 40.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$217.01
$-60.79
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
1541 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.79
$-69.48
- NO
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
124 shares @ 89.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.18
$-10.31
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
110 shares @ 83.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.65
$8.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$30.48May 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$27.02May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$7.75May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$2.90May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor?$25.00May 18, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$114.00May 18, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$3.34May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$2.69May 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$3.58May 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$1.00May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$5.00May 17, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$4.05May 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$8.22May 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$117.00May 17, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$112.50May 17, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$20.00May 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$46.74May 17, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$19.50May 17, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$39.17May 17, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$35.50May 17, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $38.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".