Subdued-Bear
0xf070a61539b968a2788b3ce18ae13270484d2ada
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$126.96
Total PnL
$-1.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 25?
80 shares @ 99.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 25, 2026$78.40
$-1.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$24.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.23
$0.73
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
11 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.35
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?$25.00May 22, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 25?$80.01May 22, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?$18.18May 22, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13?$88.19May 22, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?$18.01May 13, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$12.57May 13, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$32.03May 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13?$88.11May 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$10.51May 10, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?$70.07May 10, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?$70.00May 7, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 6?$10.22May 7, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 5?$88.16May 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 6?$10.20May 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 68°F or higher on May 4?$10.05May 6, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 5?$88.01May 3, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 68°F or higher on May 4?$10.00May 3, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$23.94May 3, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$10.04May 3, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?$14.01May 3, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $51.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".