Animated-Bulb
0xf0a86bdb3a7188b4fa3cbc7cc63dfceba1800c57
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$15.34
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
1384 shares @ 34.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$581.28
$110.72
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
643 shares @ 56.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$421.17
$61.08
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
581 shares @ 69.7¢·now 60.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$353.25
$-51.71
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
327 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$326.84
$0.16
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
38 shares @ 55.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$-19.23
- YES
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $500M and $550M at market close on IPO day?
1057 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-116.27
- EAST TEXAS A&M LIONS
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals
945 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-109.62
- YES
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?
927 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-371.73
- NO
Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
812 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-365.40
- M80
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
735 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-433.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?$774.90Apr 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$404.96Apr 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?$765.45Apr 23, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$62.78Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$31.39Apr 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?$162.18Apr 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?$23.46Apr 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$225.25Apr 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$111.51Apr 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$197.91Apr 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$247.05Apr 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$213.84Apr 11, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$235.85Apr 10, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$365.40Apr 10, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$449.48Apr 10, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$21.08Apr 10, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$98.08Apr 10, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$19.20Apr 10, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?$131.04Apr 10, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$472.27Apr 10, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $236.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".