0xf1297936fad6b3820c5f2beba701458fa4971edc
0xf1297936fad6b3820c5f2beba701458fa4971edc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$507.54
Total PnL
$-64.63
Realised
$9.06
Win rate
43%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.70
$0.70
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
36 shares @ 48.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.40
$3.04
- NO
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
26 shares @ 76.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.74
$-0.26
- NO
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
23 shares @ 87.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.31
$-0.69
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
23 shares @ 87.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$19.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
36 shares @ 56.1¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.70
$-1.30
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
29 shares @ 68.9¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.29
$-1.71
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 85.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.43
$-2.57
- NO
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
31 shares @ 59.1¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$16.66
$-1.73
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?
21 shares @ 78.1¢·now 79.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.44
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$10.06May 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$9.35May 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$10.10May 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$4.34May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$2.22May 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$10.09May 18, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$0.02May 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?$4.93May 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.02May 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.56May 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.73May 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$10.10May 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$9.71May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$9.69May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$10.00May 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$18.76May 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?$5.64May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$10.19May 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?$4.30May 18, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".