Embellished-Doorbell
0xf16dd3586eb9ca2b002a0498548b15439991b7f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
54%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
931 shares @ 30.5¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$511.81
$227.54
- YES
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
1250 shares @ 21.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$293.71
$22.22
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
373 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$246.18
$-3.73
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
265 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$245.13
$-3.97
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1137 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$244.46
$51.30
- NO
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
1199 shares @ 28.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$221.85
$-119.82
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
491 shares @ 20.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$208.79
$108.07
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
189 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$178.30
$-2.81
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
1250 shares @ 22.2¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$149.98
$-127.74
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
1249 shares @ 21.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.65
$-122.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$181.64May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.60May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$5.06May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.59May 18, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.46May 18, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$299.05May 18, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.18May 18, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$55.34May 18, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$226.20May 18, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.80May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.98May 18, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $46.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".