Frivolous-Matrix
0xf19d15cad681b90b8205fbe521395f376783d3fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.3K
Total PnL
$-446.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
5436 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.3K
$270.15
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
2879 shares @ 69.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.0K
$29.83
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2847 shares @ 70.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.7K
$-306.17
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2782 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$518.92
$18.92
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2890 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$481.21
$-18.78
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
621 shares @ 32.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$121.03
$-78.97
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$119.44
$19.44
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.29
$-80.71
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
2778 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
1396 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$100.00May 11, 10:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.0KMay 9, 07:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 1, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $764.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".