Lovable-Elm
0xf1f1721863e801dd2a4df46e70d43f7183d5f433
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$179.38
Total PnL
$-160.12
Realised
$1.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1198 shares @ 8.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.88
$-25.73
- YES
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
644 shares @ 7.8¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.27
$-19.71
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
332 shares @ 10.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.58
$-7.42
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
167 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.50
$-2.50
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
215 shares @ 22.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.94
$-35.06
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
401 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.21
$-10.41
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
417 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
268 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
149 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 25, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$3.00Apr 25, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$4.00Apr 25, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$3.00Apr 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$2.00Apr 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$5.00Apr 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$15.00Apr 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.00Apr 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$7.62Apr 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$15.00Apr 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$20.00Apr 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$25.00Apr 17, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$0.00Apr 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$25.00Apr 17, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$0.00Apr 14, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$0.00Apr 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.20Apr 14, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".