Modern-Cuticle
0xf1f5a5e47ccead608174d65eb56c8756b0754807
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$202.76
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$246.25
Win rate
85%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
273 shares @ 5.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$72.22
$57.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
303 shares @ 4.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$55.35
$40.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?
175 shares @ 11.4¢·now 22.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$39.36
$19.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$15.05
$5.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.50
$1.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
146 shares @ 6.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.32
$-5.68
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?
234 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.35
$-3.62
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.69May 25, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$10.63May 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.27May 25, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.31May 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.06May 25, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$3.20May 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$10.62May 25, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$10.60May 25, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$10.64May 25, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$26.18May 25, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$10.41May 25, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$10.51May 25, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$10.61May 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$21.11May 25, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$10.48May 25, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$10.69May 25, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$20.91May 25, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.00May 25, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.28May 25, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$10.65May 25, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".