Failing-Venue
0xf21870c123f82e05745b319e02c398d7cf7c8e12
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$140.58
Total PnL
$-169.30
Realised
$4.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
224 shares @ 15.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$70.66
$36.71
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$33.57
$-16.43
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
275 shares @ 5.4¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.67
$4.67
- YES
Canada recession before 2027?
73 shares @ 41.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.34
$-18.66
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.67Apr 5, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$2.67Apr 5, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.33Apr 5, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.33Apr 5, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.25Apr 5, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$1.25Apr 5, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 23, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 21, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".