Ill-Informed-Icebreaker
0xf24f67c60c18d3a2893ced432d5806ebd53ecfb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$64.15
Total PnL
$-117.21
Realised
$23.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$19.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
88 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.88
$-3.08
- NO
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.30
$-20.70
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.90
$-23.10
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
300 shares @ 12.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.25
$-30.15
- YES
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
200 shares @ 17.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.20
$-33.72
- YES
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
47 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.49
$-7.44
- YES
Will the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
18 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.07
$-0.11
- YES
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
2 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.05
$-0.27
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
4 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.01
$-0.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$10.61May 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$10.00May 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.20May 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$11.72May 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$26.54May 17, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$3.59May 17, 16:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.82May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$0.00May 15, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$3.33May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$1.44May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$7.64May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$27.18May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$45.00May 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$70.15May 15, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$89.21May 15, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$11.91May 15, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$1.00May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$1.00May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$1.00May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$1.00May 15, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $23.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".