Mortified-Wetland
0xf2cf3cf7863182c763bce60580a7d20e9333464b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$666.11
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$23.11
Win rate
100%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Samuel Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?
630 shares @ 82.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$425.24
$-92.54
- NO
Will "WITCH WATCH" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
65 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$61.59
$-0.68
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
75 shares @ 15.7¢·now 35.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$26.76
$15.01
- YES
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
110 shares @ 29.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.90
$-9.86
- NO
Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle (Yuki Kajiura, Go Shiina)" win Best Anime Score at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
32 shares @ 93.7¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$19.59
$-10.29
- YES
Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
70 shares @ 48.8¢·now 24.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$17.08
$-17.10
- NO
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
160 shares @ 54.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.28
$-73.52
- YES
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
40 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$13.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?
40 shares @ 93.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.00
$-25.20
- YES
Will Albert Olszewski be the Republican nominee for MT-01?
182 shares @ 10.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$10.93
$-8.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$1.00May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.10May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.35May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.02May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.35May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$1.40May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikel Merino record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$0.22May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?$10.09May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?$1.59May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?$5.50May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.49May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.81May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$0.27May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?$0.08May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$2.78May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.05May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have 160mm or more of precipitation in May?$0.01May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.33May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disgusting" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$0.16May 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.02May 18, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".