Sizzling-Safari
0xf40f825520148a438e494192d0f214372d0ec3bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$220.71
Total PnL
$-20.37
Realised
$2.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?
188 shares @ 28.8¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$54.42
$0.27
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
48 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.86
$0.89
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
33 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.58
$0.58
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
32 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.98
$-0.02
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.61
$5.61
- NO
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
22 shares @ 83.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.01
$2.75
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
241 shares @ 6.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$13.25
$-3.32
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$4.81May 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$11.50May 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$10.91May 20, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$7.03May 20, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$5.78May 20, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$13.24May 20, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$2.76May 20, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$31.45May 20, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$30.00May 20, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$12.95May 20, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$14.50May 20, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$5.00May 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$14.50May 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?$17.50May 20, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.80May 20, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$0.06May 20, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?$50.00May 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$0.60May 20, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$16.59May 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?$53.00May 20, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".